Stillaguamish Delta: Difference between revisions

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*[https://fortress.wa.gov/ecy/coastalatlas/tools/Map.aspx?CustomMap=y&BBox=-13632825,6133890,-13607353,6150286&Layers=19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26&Opacity=1&Basemap=bmHybrid&Options=h,v,h,h,h,h Coastal Atlas View of Stillaguamish Delta]
*[https://fortress.wa.gov/ecy/coastalatlas/tools/Map.aspx?CustomMap=y&BBox=-13632825,6133890,-13607353,6150286&Layers=19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26&Opacity=1&Basemap=bmHybrid&Options=h,v,h,h,h,h Coastal Atlas View of Stillaguamish Delta]


==Context==
==Overall Context==
*[[Snohomish Sustainable Lands Strategy]] has been hosting discussion of how redevelopment of the delta can support both fishery restoration and farm viability.
*The Stillaguamish Delta is the cornerstone of the [[Port Susan Bay Ecosystem]], and is sometimes geomorphically grouped with the [[Skagit Delta]] ([[Collins & Sheik 2005]]) as a contiguous tidal floodplain system with two rivers.  In the farming community, the delta is frequently considered part of the [[[[Lower Stillaguamish Floodplain]]. The delta extent described in [[Simenstad et al 2011]] based on [[River History Project]] T-Sheets does not extend as far upstream as tidal inundation would currently reach, based on modern Digital Elevation Models reviewed by the [[Delta Metrics Project]].
*The Stillaguamish Delta is the cornerstone of the [[Port Susan Bay Ecosystem]], and is sometimes geomorphically grouped with the [[Skagit Delta]] ([[Collins & Sheik 2005]]) as a contiguous tidal floodplain system with two rivers.  In the farming community, the delta is frequently considered part of the [[[[Lower Stillaguamish Floodplain]]. The delta extent described in [[Simenstad et al 2011]] based on [[River History Project]] T-Sheets does not extend as far upstream as tidal inundation would currently reach, based on modern Digital Elevation Models reviewed by the [[Delta Metrics Project]].
*Florence Island and a large area of farmlands behind river levees are below tidal flood elevation, and have subsided significantly since development.  Current rates of subsidence are unknown.
*There is an important role for building community understanding of alternatives and risks in the delta as part of the restoration planning process.  Communities living below sea level may have not had the time to absorb and process the implications of sea level rise [[User:Pcereghino|Pcereghino]] ([[User talk:Pcereghino|talk]]).
*Modelling can fail to resolve social dynamics, because communities can observe detailed system dynamics that are not necessarily observed by simple models.  To accurately model delta environments requires an expensive integration of multiple change models.  An incremental parallel approach to community development and model development may be useful [[User:Pcereghino|Pcereghino]] ([[User talk:Pcereghino|talk]]).
 
===Erosion and Sediment Accretion in the Delta===
*Fuller completed a brief exploration of [[Stillaguamish Delta Dredged Sediment Re-use]] to build marsh in response to marsh erosion.
*Sediment is accreting at 3-5 cm/year in the Port Susan Bay Restoration and 1-2 cm/year in more exposed marsh (ESRP pers. comms.)
*Marsh continues to erode in northern portions of the delta not receiving river flowAt observed rates fringing marsh along North Florence Island would be gone in 15 years (cite).  There is currently not ongoing monitoring of marsh recession.
*Water and sediment from the Stillaguamish River flows predominantly to the south, with wave resuspension assumed as the primary mechanisms for sediment movement to the north.
*Along the northern delta, high marsh is accreting but marsh area is still eroding.  The origin of high marsh sediment inputs is unclear.  One theory is that wave action combined with snow goose herbivory is eroding low marsh and re-suspending sediments.  The relative influence of sediment starvation, wave energy, and goose effects are unclear.
 
===River Delivery of Sediment and Water===
*Flow is divided between Hat Slough and the Old Stillaguamish Channel.  Flow has been switching from the Old Stilly Channel to Hat Slough over time (citation?).
*The Stillaguamish River is currently not dammed, and so the sediment budget has not been reduced by dam impoundment.  However [[Czuba et al 2011]] suggests that the Stillaguamish sediment budget is relatively low compared to other [[Whidbey Basin]] systems.   
*The Stillaguamish River is currently not dammed, and so the sediment budget has not been reduced by dam impoundment.  However [[Czuba et al 2011]] suggests that the Stillaguamish sediment budget is relatively low compared to other [[Whidbey Basin]] systems.   
*The [[Oso Landslide]] in March of 2014 was a gigantic slump in a deep seated landslide site on the [[North Fork Stillaguamish Floodplain]], and increased sediment loading by 50 or 60% for several years, after a large initial pulse.  Much of the Oso material has largely moved through the system, due to the high proportion of fines in the slide material resulting is a large proportion of suspended load (Grossman, pers coms).
*The [[Oso Landslide]] in March of 2014 was a gigantic slump in a deep seated landslide site on the [[North Fork Stillaguamish Floodplain]], and increased sediment loading by 50 or 60% for several years, after a large initial pulse.  Much of the Oso material has largely moved through the system, due to the high proportion of fines in the slide material resulting is a large proportion of suspended load (Grossman, pers coms).
*Flow is divided between Hat Slough and the Old Stillaguamish ChannelFlow has been switching from the Old Stilly Channel to Hat Slough over time (citation?).
*Primary production in tidal marsh is affected by pore water salinity.  The interaction between topography, sediment texture, river water, and groundwater dynamics (including reduction of groundwater head due to subsidence of historical delta landward) affects pore water salinity.  In years of low river flow
===Farmland Subsidence, Groundwater and Influence of Sea Level Rise===
*Florence Island and a large area of farmlands behind river levees are below tidal flood elevation, and have subsided significantly since developmentCurrent rates of subsidence are unknown.
*The TNC land at the Mouth of Hatt Slough had subsided approximately 1m lower than surrounding marsh prior to restoration.
*The [[Stillaguamish Flood Control District]] manages (all? some?) dikes and levees in the delta.
*The [[Stillaguamish Flood Control District]] manages (all? some?) dikes and levees in the delta.
===Salmon Recovery===
*[[Griffith & Fuller 2012]] proposes a specific estuarine restoration target of 80% of historic estuary area to supplement the Stillaguamish Basin Salmon Recovery Plan ([[SIRC 2005]])
*There is no current design process for reconnecting the distribution and sediment, freshwater and fish through distributary restoration (as in the [[Skagit Delta]] cross island connector.
*[[Leque Island Restoration]] led by [[WDFW]] and [[Ducks Unlimited]], completed internal work in 2017 and anticipated restoration of tidal flooding in 2019 pending state budget resolution..  Initial design elicited concern from some Camano Island residents about how the project might affect their sole source aquifir.  A USGS study of groundwater that suggests that the aquifir will not be affected.  WDFW is continuing groundwater monitoring during project implementation.
*[[Zis a Ba Restoration]] developed by the [[Stillaguamish Indian Tribe]] restored 80 acres of Florence Island to tidal flows in 2017.
*There is a restoration opportunity to improve connectivity at the North Leque Island site, also managed for the state by WDFW.
*[[Port Susan Restoration]] was completed in 2012 by [[The Nature Conservancy]], initiating restoration of the delta. [[File:Fuller et al 2014 port susan monitoring report.pdf]] summarizes findings of monitoring.  The project took a "light touch" approach, to control costs and test assumptions.  The natural river levee along the [[Port Susan Restoration]] is too high to allow strong freshwater flow into the subsided restoration site.  Since restoration, regional studies have suggested that increased breaches would increase connectivity of the site, and improve salmon use.  The project included flood gates to reduce flood impact.
*The Stillaguamish Chinook stock is critically imperiled, and is one of the Puget Sound "weak stocks" that constrain the North Pacific fishery ([https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/low-numbers-lead-to-fishing-restrictions-on-chinook-salmon/940542875 KIRO 2019]).
===Farming===
*Twin Foods, a major land owner on Florence Island anticipates selling its processing plant in Stanwood [http://www.heraldnet.com/business/twin-city-foods-to-close-stanwood-plant-85-jobs-affected/].
*Twin Foods, a major land owner on Florence Island anticipates selling its processing plant in Stanwood [http://www.heraldnet.com/business/twin-city-foods-to-close-stanwood-plant-85-jobs-affected/].
*[[Snohomish Agricultural Resilience]] work is trying to consider the combination of groundwater mounding, increased river level due to both bed aggredation and increased hydrograph.  Proposed groundwater analysis will evaluate groundwater work for both the Stillaguamish and Snohomish.  Quantification of sea level rise risk through groundwater mounding is important for considering questions about how to protect local agricultural production under greenhouse impacts.
===Recreation===
*[[WDFW]] is planning to construct a public boat launch in Stanwood along the Old Channel.  The [[City of Stanwood]] has recently purchased the old Ovenell Farm for the purpose of developing a multipurpose public waterfront including docks[http://www.ci.stanwood.wa.us/parksrec/page/ovenell-farm-park].
*[[WDFW]] is planning to construct a public boat launch in Stanwood along the Old Channel.  The [[City of Stanwood]] has recently purchased the old Ovenell Farm for the purpose of developing a multipurpose public waterfront including docks[http://www.ci.stanwood.wa.us/parksrec/page/ovenell-farm-park].


[[File:Stillaguamish delta restoration sites.jpg|right|400px|map of current conditions c. 2012]]
[[File:Stillaguamish delta restoration sites.jpg|right|400px|map of current conditions c. 2012]]
==Related Reports and Analysis==
*[[Griffith & Fuller 2012]] proposes a large estuarine restoration target to supplement the Stillaguamish Basin Salmon Recovery Plan ([[SIRC 2005]])
*[[Snohomish Sustainable Lands Strategy]] has been hosting discussion of how redevelopment of the delta can support both fishery restoration and farm viability.
*Fuller completed a brief exploration of [[Stillaguamish Delta Dredged Sediment Re-use]] to build marsh in response to marsh erosion. 
*[[The Nature Conservancy]] has completed a dike setback project called the [[Port Susan Restoration]] which incorporated flood gates to benefit Florence Island residents and farmers.
*[[Leque Island Restoration]] resulted in concern from some Camano Island residents about how the project might affect their sole source aquifir, resolved through a USGS study of groundwater that suggests that the aquifir will not be affected.  WDFW is continuing groundwater monitoring during project implementation.
*Restoration planning in the system generates concern from farming communities about the loss of farmland.
==Restoration==
*In 2012 the [[Port Susan Restoration]] was completed by [[The Nature Conservancy]], initiating restoration of the delta. [[File:Fuller et al 2014 port susan monitoring report.pdf]] summarizes findings of monitoring.  The site is subsided and so the number of connections to surrounding distributaries is less than would be found in a natural system.
*The natural river levee along the [[Port Susan Restoration]] is too high to allow strong freshwater flow into the subsided restoration site.  Increasing connection of river flow and sediments north of the current river mouth has been proposed.
*[[Zis a Ba Restoration]] developed by the [[Stillaguamish Indian Tribe]] restores 80 acres of Florence Island to tidal flows in 2017.
*[[WDFW]] completed internal work on [[Leque Island Restoration]] in 2017 and anticipated restoration of tidal flooding in 2019 pending state budget resolution.
*There is an opportunity to improve connectivity at the North Leque Island site, also managed for the state by WDFW.
==System Dynamics and Questions==
*Marsh continues to erode in portions of the delta not receiving river flow.  At current rates fringing marsh along North Florence Island would be gone in 15 years (cite).
*Water from the Stillaguamish River mainstem flows predominantly to the south, with wave resuspension the primary mechanisms for sediment movement to the north.
*Along the northern delta, high marsh is accreting but marsh area is still eroding.  The origin of high marsh sediment inputs is unclear.  One theory is that wave action combined with snow goose herbivory is eroding low marsh and re-suspending sediments.  The relative influence of sediment starvation, wave energy, and goose effects are unclear.
*Primary production in tidal marsh is affected by pore water salinity.  The interaction between topography, sediment texture, river water, and groundwater dynamics (including reduction of groundwater head due to subsidence of historical delta landward), and how these will change under climate change is poorly understood.  Years of low river flow, and accompanying increases in low-flow salinity can change marsh vegetation episodically.  Vegetation provides wave attenuation.
*It may be important to clarify restoration expectations for the role of restoration in affecting freshwater and bed-load and suspended sediment conveyance into the system, and our strategy relative to subsided areas within the delta that are anomylous potential sediment sinks in the tidal plain.
*[[Snohomish Agricultural Resilience]] work is trying to consider the combination of groundwater mounding, increased river level due to both bed aggredation and increased hydrograph.  Proposed groundwater analysis will evaluate groundwater work for both the Stillaguamish and Snohomish.  Quantification of sea level rise risk through groundwater mounding is important for considering questions about how to protect local agricultural production under greenhouse impacts.
*It seems likely that the re-routing of the Stillaguamish River mouth at TNC may not be significant enough to cause system scale effects, however breaching the TNC site to increase river flow into the restoration site may be a viable approach.
*There is an important role for building community understanding of alternatives and risks in the delta as part of the restoration planning process.  Communities living below sea level may have not had the time to absorb and process the implications of sea level rise [[User:Pcereghino|Pcereghino]] ([[User talk:Pcereghino|talk]]).
*Modelling can fail to resolve social dynamics, because communities can observe detailed system dynamics that are not necessarily observed by simple models.  To accurately model delta environments requires an expensive integration of multiple change models.  An incremental parallel approach to community development and model development may be useful [[User:Pcereghino|Pcereghino]] ([[User talk:Pcereghino|talk]]).


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==Images==

Revision as of 23:24, 15 May 2019


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Stillaguamish oblique summary.jpg

The Stillaguamish River Delta has formed where the Stillaguamish River enters Port Susan, a natural bay formed between the lowland glacial terrace, and Camano Island. The town of Stanwood is partially constructed in the historic delta. Collins & Sheik 2005 consider the Stillaguamish wetlands as part of a contiguous Skagit-Stillaguamish complex.

Overall Context

  • Snohomish Sustainable Lands Strategy has been hosting discussion of how redevelopment of the delta can support both fishery restoration and farm viability.
  • The Stillaguamish Delta is the cornerstone of the Port Susan Bay Ecosystem, and is sometimes geomorphically grouped with the Skagit Delta (Collins & Sheik 2005) as a contiguous tidal floodplain system with two rivers. In the farming community, the delta is frequently considered part of the [[Lower Stillaguamish Floodplain. The delta extent described in Simenstad et al 2011 based on River History Project T-Sheets does not extend as far upstream as tidal inundation would currently reach, based on modern Digital Elevation Models reviewed by the Delta Metrics Project.
  • There is an important role for building community understanding of alternatives and risks in the delta as part of the restoration planning process. Communities living below sea level may have not had the time to absorb and process the implications of sea level rise Pcereghino (talk).
  • Modelling can fail to resolve social dynamics, because communities can observe detailed system dynamics that are not necessarily observed by simple models. To accurately model delta environments requires an expensive integration of multiple change models. An incremental parallel approach to community development and model development may be useful Pcereghino (talk).

Erosion and Sediment Accretion in the Delta

  • Fuller completed a brief exploration of Stillaguamish Delta Dredged Sediment Re-use to build marsh in response to marsh erosion.
  • Sediment is accreting at 3-5 cm/year in the Port Susan Bay Restoration and 1-2 cm/year in more exposed marsh (ESRP pers. comms.)
  • Marsh continues to erode in northern portions of the delta not receiving river flow. At observed rates fringing marsh along North Florence Island would be gone in 15 years (cite). There is currently not ongoing monitoring of marsh recession.
  • Water and sediment from the Stillaguamish River flows predominantly to the south, with wave resuspension assumed as the primary mechanisms for sediment movement to the north.
  • Along the northern delta, high marsh is accreting but marsh area is still eroding. The origin of high marsh sediment inputs is unclear. One theory is that wave action combined with snow goose herbivory is eroding low marsh and re-suspending sediments. The relative influence of sediment starvation, wave energy, and goose effects are unclear.

River Delivery of Sediment and Water

  • Flow is divided between Hat Slough and the Old Stillaguamish Channel. Flow has been switching from the Old Stilly Channel to Hat Slough over time (citation?).
  • The Stillaguamish River is currently not dammed, and so the sediment budget has not been reduced by dam impoundment. However Czuba et al 2011 suggests that the Stillaguamish sediment budget is relatively low compared to other Whidbey Basin systems.
  • The Oso Landslide in March of 2014 was a gigantic slump in a deep seated landslide site on the North Fork Stillaguamish Floodplain, and increased sediment loading by 50 or 60% for several years, after a large initial pulse. Much of the Oso material has largely moved through the system, due to the high proportion of fines in the slide material resulting is a large proportion of suspended load (Grossman, pers coms).
  • Primary production in tidal marsh is affected by pore water salinity. The interaction between topography, sediment texture, river water, and groundwater dynamics (including reduction of groundwater head due to subsidence of historical delta landward) affects pore water salinity. In years of low river flow

Farmland Subsidence, Groundwater and Influence of Sea Level Rise

  • Florence Island and a large area of farmlands behind river levees are below tidal flood elevation, and have subsided significantly since development. Current rates of subsidence are unknown.
  • The TNC land at the Mouth of Hatt Slough had subsided approximately 1m lower than surrounding marsh prior to restoration.
  • The Stillaguamish Flood Control District manages (all? some?) dikes and levees in the delta.

Salmon Recovery

  • Griffith & Fuller 2012 proposes a specific estuarine restoration target of 80% of historic estuary area to supplement the Stillaguamish Basin Salmon Recovery Plan (SIRC 2005)
  • There is no current design process for reconnecting the distribution and sediment, freshwater and fish through distributary restoration (as in the Skagit Delta cross island connector.
  • Leque Island Restoration led by WDFW and Ducks Unlimited, completed internal work in 2017 and anticipated restoration of tidal flooding in 2019 pending state budget resolution.. Initial design elicited concern from some Camano Island residents about how the project might affect their sole source aquifir. A USGS study of groundwater that suggests that the aquifir will not be affected. WDFW is continuing groundwater monitoring during project implementation.
  • Zis a Ba Restoration developed by the Stillaguamish Indian Tribe restored 80 acres of Florence Island to tidal flows in 2017.
  • There is a restoration opportunity to improve connectivity at the North Leque Island site, also managed for the state by WDFW.
  • Port Susan Restoration was completed in 2012 by The Nature Conservancy, initiating restoration of the delta. File:Fuller et al 2014 port susan monitoring report.pdf summarizes findings of monitoring. The project took a "light touch" approach, to control costs and test assumptions. The natural river levee along the Port Susan Restoration is too high to allow strong freshwater flow into the subsided restoration site. Since restoration, regional studies have suggested that increased breaches would increase connectivity of the site, and improve salmon use. The project included flood gates to reduce flood impact.
  • The Stillaguamish Chinook stock is critically imperiled, and is one of the Puget Sound "weak stocks" that constrain the North Pacific fishery (KIRO 2019).

Farming

  • Twin Foods, a major land owner on Florence Island anticipates selling its processing plant in Stanwood [1].
  • Snohomish Agricultural Resilience work is trying to consider the combination of groundwater mounding, increased river level due to both bed aggredation and increased hydrograph. Proposed groundwater analysis will evaluate groundwater work for both the Stillaguamish and Snohomish. Quantification of sea level rise risk through groundwater mounding is important for considering questions about how to protect local agricultural production under greenhouse impacts.

Recreation

  • WDFW is planning to construct a public boat launch in Stanwood along the Old Channel. The City of Stanwood has recently purchased the old Ovenell Farm for the purpose of developing a multipurpose public waterfront including docks[2].
map of current conditions c. 2012

Nearshore Strategies Data Report

Cereghino et al 2012 completed a soundwide analysis to identify and describe river delta sites in Puget Sounds as part of a nearshore ecosystem restoration strategy (using remote sensing data c. 2000-2006). The following narrative of this delta site was developed to support distribution and use of analysis results:

The Stillaguamish Delta in the Whidbey Sub-basin historically contained 7,249 acres of vegetated wetland along a 65 km shoreline. The delta receives flow from a 180,570 square kilometer watershed. These characteristics make this system the 3th largest delta out of 16 systems in Puget Sound.
Simenstad et al 2011 found that this system had lost 69% of its vegetated tidal wetlands, and 22% of its shoreline length. Of the remaining shoreline, 87% shows some evidence of infrastructure development. In the surrounding uplands, 40% of land is estimated to have greater than 10% impervious surface. Across the watershed, 22% of land is estimated to have greater than 10% impervious surface. Based on these paramters, the site was given a degradation score of 40 out of 100, making it the 7th most degraded delta in Puget Sound. It faces a medium risk of future development locally, and a medium risk of development across the watershed. None of the watershed is currently impounded behind dams.


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